Valur 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.7pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.1pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.91/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/2.47
-48% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
439 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2025 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 Valur Valur İZLK
16.02.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur Valur İZLK
13.01.2024 Valur Valur 7-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLRT
22.08.2016 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
22.05.2016 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
17.08.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
POST-MATCH Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur edged past Throttur Reykjavik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Valur and 0.83 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Valur 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valur 56%, draw 24%, Throttur Reykjavik 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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