Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
55%
Away Win
65%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 70%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.69
-31% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +74%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Valur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur Valur İZLK
13.01.2024 Valur Valur 7-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLRT
22.08.2016 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
22.05.2016 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
17.08.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
01.06.2009 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
1-3
AWAY Valur
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur beat Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 41% of the ball to Valur's 59%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur?

Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 23%, draw 22%, Valur 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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