İA Akranes 3-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.78/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.23
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
24.2 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Afturelding
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 2.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 34
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.05.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
08.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
28.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 2-5 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
22.05.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
11.03.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
3-1
AWAY Afturelding
3.28 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
254 Passes 265
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes saw off Afturelding 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İA Akranes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, İA Akranes had 50% of the ball to Afturelding's 50%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 3.28 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İA Akranes and 1.83 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

İA Akranes 3-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 41%, draw 26%, Afturelding 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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