Afturelding 4-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
0.80/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.02
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +146%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.0 Crosses 26.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
1W-1D-3L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
08.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
28.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 2-5 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
22.05.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
11.03.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
4-1
AWAY İA Akranes
2.22 xG 1.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
299 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding cruised past İA Akranes 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Afturelding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Afturelding had 51% of the ball to İA Akranes's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.22 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, İA Akranes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Afturelding and 2.60 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs İA Akranes?

Afturelding 4-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 37%, draw 30%, İA Akranes 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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