Vestri 1-0 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 46%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.04/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.30
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
18.3 Crosses 23.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-0D-3L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.99 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 341
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZK
21.04.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
1-0
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.93 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
337 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 36
5 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vestri vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri squeezed past KA Akureyri 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vestri had 43% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 57%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.93 to 1.53 — on chances, KA Akureyri could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vestri and 1.75 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Vestri vs KA Akureyri?

Vestri 1-0 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vestri 33%, draw 25%, KA Akureyri 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ BTTS No
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