KA Akureyri vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Vestri — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Vestri Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
KA Akureyri 2-1 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics
KA Akureyri nicked a narrow win over Vestri 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 57% of the ball to Vestri's 43%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.91 to 1.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KA Akureyri's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.67 for Vestri.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vestri?
KA Akureyri 2-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vestri?
Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 42%, draw 26%, Vestri 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.