FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.7
2-3 Goals
33%
2.27
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
18%
4.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.8pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.87/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.87
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
25.3 Crosses 16.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.97 xG 2.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
242 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
26.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2023 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.08.2022 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.17 for Valur.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 36%, draw 24%, Valur 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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