İA Akranes 3-4 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.21
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
29%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
47%
Away Win
63%
-16.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 69%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.65/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.94
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
26.0 Crosses 23.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
202 Passes 408
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-2 HT 1-2 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
25.05.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
28.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
09.07.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
24.04.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.10.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. squeezed past İA Akranes 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İA Akranes and 1.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.?

İA Akranes 3-4 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 28%, draw 25%, Vikingur R. 47%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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