Breidablik 2-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.61
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
31%
2.5
6+ Goals
17%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.92/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.93
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
21.5 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
21.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
08.10.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
04.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
03.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.17 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
272 Passes 383
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik edged past Stjarnan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 44% of the ball to Stjarnan's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.17 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Breidablik and 1.00 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Stjarnan?

Breidablik 2-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 52%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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