Stjarnan 2-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 Aug 2024

Stjarnan
2-2 HT 1-0
Breidablik
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Stjarnan vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stjarnan v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.75
-13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
12.5 Crosses 21.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stjarnan vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.84 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
08.10.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
04.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
03.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
07.08.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-2 HT 3-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL

Stjarnan 2-2 Breidablik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-2
AWAY Breidablik
2.02 xG 1.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 9
307 Passes 191
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 29
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan and Breidablik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 57% of the ball to Breidablik's 43%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.02 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stjarnan and 1.67 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Breidablik?

Stjarnan 2-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 31%, draw 22%, Breidablik 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
11 Aug 2024
17:00 Vikingur R. vs Vestri Analysis →
20:00 Fylkir vs KA Akureyri Analysis →
22:15 Valur vs HK Kopavogur Analysis →