Valur 5-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.5pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.9pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +21%
1.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.13
-10% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.8 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
6W-0D-0L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.58 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
464 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
03.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
11.06.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-5 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
02.03.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
02.03.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
25.07.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-3 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
5-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
4.70 xG 1.07
69% Ball Possession 31%
29 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
526 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
64 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur ran out comfortable winners over HK Kopavogur 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 69% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 31%, shots finished 29-14, expected goals 4.70 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Valur and 0.33 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Valur vs HK Kopavogur?

Valur 5-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Valur 64%, draw 21%, HK Kopavogur 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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