HK Kopavogur 1-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+10.1pp
27%
Draw
17%
+9.8pp
50%
Away Win
70%
-19.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 75%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -21%
1.25/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
+48% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +30%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.1
13.3 Crosses 29.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Valur
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.36 xG 2.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
313 Passes 450
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
11.06.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-5 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
02.03.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
02.03.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
25.07.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-3 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
13.05.2021 Valur Valur 3-2 HT 1-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
1-2
AWAY Valur
1.00 xG 2.76
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 32
3 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 14
201 Passes 492
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 43
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur nicked a narrow win over HK Kopavogur 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 34% of the ball to Valur's 66%, shots finished 11-32, expected goals 1.00 to 2.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valur's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HK Kopavogur and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Valur?

HK Kopavogur 1-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 23%, draw 27%, Valur 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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