Fram Reykjavik 1-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.31/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.60
+19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
08.10.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
25.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-4 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
23.06.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
11.08.2013 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
21.05.2013 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-1
AWAY İA Akranes
2.58 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
342 Passes 501
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik and İA Akranes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 41% of the ball to İA Akranes's 59%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.58 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.50 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

Fram Reykjavik 1-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 43%, draw 26%, İA Akranes 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ BTTS Yes
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