Breidablik 2-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 May 2024

Breidablik
2-1 HT 2-1
Stjarnan
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Breidablik vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Breidablik v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.42
-13% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Breidablik vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
04.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
03.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
07.08.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-2 HT 3-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
11.05.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-2 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL

Breidablik 2-1 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.49 xG 2.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
253 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik edged past Stjarnan 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 44% of the ball to Stjarnan's 56%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.49 to 2.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stjarnan.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Breidablik and 1.67 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Stjarnan?

Breidablik 2-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 45%, draw 23%, Stjarnan 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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