Fylkir 1-1 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.29/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.33
+27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
18.6 Crosses 25.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.59 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 3-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
24.09.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 2-4 HT 1-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
03.09.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.06.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
02.03.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 2-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
11.09.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
1-1
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.13 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
271 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 35
28 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir and KA Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Fylkir had 45% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 55%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.13 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fylkir and 2.50 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs KA Akureyri?

Fylkir 1-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 31%, draw 30%, KA Akureyri 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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