Vikingur R. 1-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.3pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.1pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 12%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.18/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.54
+39% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.5 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vestri
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.82 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.05.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
02.10.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-3 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
1-1
AWAY Vestri
1.75 xG 1.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
478 Passes 254
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. and Vestri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Vikingur R. carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 61% of the ball to Vestri's 39%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.75 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Vestri?

Vikingur R. 1-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 63%, draw 21%, Vestri 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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