FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.49/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.53
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
23.1 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.49 xG 2.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
222 Passes 414
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
26.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2023 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.08.2022 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
06.05.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2-2
AWAY Valur
3.88 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
323 Passes 219
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 57% of the ball to Valur's 43%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 3.88 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.17 for Valur.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 37%, draw 25%, Valur 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
19 Aug 2024
22:15 Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Vikingur R. vs İA Akranes Analysis →