Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.78/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.89
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.4 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.74 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
547 Passes 235
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-4 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
14.07.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.04.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-4 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
22.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.05.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-3 HT 2-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
18.08.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.49 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
432 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik beat Fram Reykjavik 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 61% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 39%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.49 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 52%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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