Vestri 0-2 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-12.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 57%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.67/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.30
-22% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
30.0 Crosses 29.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
256 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZK
21.04.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
0-2
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.56 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
276 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Vestri vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri got the better of Vestri 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; KA Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vestri had 52% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.56 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vestri and 1.50 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Vestri vs KA Akureyri?

Vestri 0-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vestri 35%, draw 25%, KA Akureyri 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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