İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-4 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
5.42
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
10%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.9pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.73/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.55
-17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
18.3 Crosses 26.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 2.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 327
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
18.05.2025 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
28.09.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
28.06.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
18.03.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
3-4
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.30 xG 4.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri nicked a narrow win over İB Vestmannaeyjar 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; KA Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İB Vestmannaeyjar had 45% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 55%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 1.30 to 4.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KA Akureyri's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 1.00 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-4 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 36%, draw 29%, KA Akureyri 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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