KA Akureyri 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+7.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.48/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.56
-30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
29.1 Crosses 24.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-2D-1L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
28.09.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
28.06.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
18.03.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
09.07.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-3 HT 2-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-0
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
3.67 xG 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
460 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri edged past İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 64% of the ball to İB Vestmannaeyjar's 36%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.67 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KA Akureyri's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.00 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

KA Akureyri 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 53%, draw 22%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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