Vestri 3-2 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 48%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.99/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.95
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
14.8 Crosses 23.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Vestri Vestri 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
18.05.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
05.10.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-4 HT 1-3 Vestri Vestri İZL
27.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
07.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.08.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vestri and 1.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Vestri 3-2 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vestri 28%, draw 28%, Fram Reykjavik 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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