Vikingur R. 2-4 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.81/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.90
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
24.9 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.60 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.10.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
03.07.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
27.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.10.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-4
AWAY Stjarnan
4.05 xG 1.40
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
420 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan got the better of Vikingur R. 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 67% of the ball to Stjarnan's 33%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 4.05 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vikingur R..

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.33 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Vikingur R. 2-4 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 52%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 24%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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