Valur 2-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +20%
2.22/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.55
+52% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
12.9 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
284 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
06.10.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
15.08.2024 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
25.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-1
AWAY Breidablik
1.30 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 8
330 Passes 242
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur edged past Breidablik 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 54% of the ball to Breidablik's 46%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.30 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valur and 1.83 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Breidablik?

Valur 2-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valur 51%, draw 20%, Breidablik 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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