Breidablik 2-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.59/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.86
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
26.9 Crosses 16.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
324 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
15.08.2024 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
25.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
16.04.2023 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-1
AWAY Valur
1.37 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
385 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik edged past Valur 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 53% of the ball to Valur's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.37 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Breidablik and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Valur?

Breidablik 2-1 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 49%, draw 22%, Valur 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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