Breidablik 2-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Oct 2024

Breidablik
2-2 HT 0-1
Valur
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Breidablik vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.14
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.93
2-3 Goals
37%
2.3
4-5 Goals
32%
2.39
6+ Goals
16%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.6pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.4pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Breidablik v Valur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.88/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.36
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.8 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Breidablik vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
301 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.08.2024 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
25.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
16.04.2023 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.10.2022 Valur Valur 2-5 HT 2-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL

Breidablik 2-2 Valur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-2
AWAY Valur
1.68 xG 1.18
66% Ball Possession 34%
29 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
443 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 66% of the ball to Valur's 34%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 1.68 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Breidablik and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Valur?

Breidablik 2-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 44%, draw 23%, Valur 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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