KA Akureyri 0-4 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.88
2-3 Goals
34%
2.17
4-5 Goals
35%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.7pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -7%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.72
-17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.7 Crosses 21.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
271 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
05.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
24.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
0-4
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.61 xG 1.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 0
351 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik cruised past KA Akureyri 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and on the day KR Reykjavik made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 47% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 53%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.61 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

KA Akureyri 0-4 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 39%, draw 23%, KR Reykjavik 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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