KR Reykjavik 2-2 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.5pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.62/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.55
-32% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
25.4 Crosses 25.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-3D-1L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.78 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
24.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.05.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-2
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.43 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
283 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and KA Akureyri shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 52% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 48%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.43 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KR Reykjavik and 0.50 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

KR Reykjavik 2-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 42%, draw 23%, KA Akureyri 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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