KA Akureyri 1-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2024

KA Akureyri
1-1 HT 0-1
KR Reykjavik
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KA Akureyri v KR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.76
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.6 Crosses 22.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 299
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
02.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.05.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
05.07.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-2 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL

KA Akureyri 1-1 KR Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-1
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.49 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
300 Passes 238
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
44 Box Touches 23
35 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 55% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.00 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

KA Akureyri 1-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 38%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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