HK Kopavogur 3-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.17
Over 2.5
71%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.6pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.0pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-12.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
28%
+0.4pp
71%
Over 2.5
72%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 84%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.47/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.23
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.9 Crosses 22.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.57 xG 2.57
44% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
244 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 42
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 6-1 HT 4-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
21.05.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
19.02.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
11.09.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-0 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
13.07.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-0 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
21.09.2020 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
3-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.55 xG 2.74
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
138 Passes 462
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 29
5 Crosses 38
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur saw off Vikingur R. 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur R. at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%) came in.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 28% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 72%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.55 to 2.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vikingur R..

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HK Kopavogur and 2.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Vikingur R.?

HK Kopavogur 3-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 17%, draw 16%, Vikingur R. 67%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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