Stjarnan 4-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.69
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.4 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.03.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.08.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 3-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.05.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.02.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
4-1
AWAY İA Akranes
3.62 xG 1.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
460 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan ran out comfortable winners over İA Akranes 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 59% of the ball to İA Akranes's 41%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 3.62 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stjarnan and 0.33 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Stjarnan 4-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 49%, draw 25%, İA Akranes 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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