Fram Reykjavik 2-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.81/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.86
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.9 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fylkir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.58 xG 2.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
308 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
07.10.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 5-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
14.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
30.07.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
05.03.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-1
AWAY Fylkir
1.91 xG 0.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
289 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik squeezed past Fylkir 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 42% of the ball to Fylkir's 58%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.91 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.33 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Fram Reykjavik 2-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 43%, draw 26%, Fylkir 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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