HK Kopavogur 2-2 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.04
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.69/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
-22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.8 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fylkir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
349 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
27.05.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
16.05.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 3-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZK
28.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.07.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
29.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
2-2
AWAY Fylkir
2.65 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
262 Passes 271
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
58 Box Touches 29
34 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur and Fylkir shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HK Kopavogur at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 50% of the ball to Fylkir's 50%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.65 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.67 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir?

HK Kopavogur 2-2 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 45%, draw 22%, Fylkir 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HK Kopavogur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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