Fylkir 3-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 May 2024

Fylkir
3-1 HT 2-0
HK Kopavogur
📅27/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v HK Kopavogur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
2.05/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.31
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.0 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
269 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 3-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZK
28.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.07.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
29.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.08.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
16.06.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1

Fylkir 3-1 HK Kopavogur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
3-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.76 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
257 Passes 273
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir got the better of HK Kopavogur 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fylkir had 48% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 52%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.76 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fylkir and 0.83 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur?

Fylkir 3-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 44%, draw 26%, HK Kopavogur 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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