İA Akranes 4-1 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Oct 2024

İA Akranes
4-1 HT 3-1
FH Hafnarfjordur
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v FH Hafnarfjordur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.70
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.8 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.04 xG 3.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
166 Passes 360
59% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 51
18 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.07.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.04.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.10.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.09.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 6-1 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
21.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
11.08.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK

İA Akranes 4-1 FH Hafnarfjordur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
4-1
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.43 xG 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
219 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes swept aside FH Hafnarfjordur 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; İA Akranes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 41% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 59%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.43 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İA Akranes and 1.83 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

İA Akranes 4-1 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 34%, draw 29%, FH Hafnarfjordur 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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