Vikingur R. 2-2 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.14
2-3 Goals
35%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
18%
5.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.77/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.87
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
26.6 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.08 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
363 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
27.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.10.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
24.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-2
AWAY Stjarnan
1.73 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
384 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. and Stjarnan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur R. at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 53% of the ball to Stjarnan's 47%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.73 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.67 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Vikingur R. 2-2 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 61%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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