İA Akranes 1-3 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
+30% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.1 Crosses 22.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.24 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
192 Passes 356
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 39
20 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-1 HT 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
22.07.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.04.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.10.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.09.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 6-1 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
21.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-3
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.75 xG 2.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
381 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur saw off İA Akranes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; FH Hafnarfjordur found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 62% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 38%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.75 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İA Akranes and 2.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

İA Akranes 1-3 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 39%, draw 26%, FH Hafnarfjordur 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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