Stjarnan 2-2 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.50/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.01
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
14.2 Crosses 20.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
03.07.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
27.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.10.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
24.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-2
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.19 xG 4.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
271 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan and Vikingur R. couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 49% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 51%, shots finished 10-29, expected goals 1.19 to 4.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stjarnan and 2.00 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.?

Stjarnan 2-2 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 30%, draw 22%, Vikingur R. 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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