Stjarnan vs İA Akranes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v İA Akranes — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs İA Akranes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Stjarnan
İZL
Stjarnan 1-2 İA Akranes — Actual Match Statistics
İA Akranes edged past Stjarnan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stjarnan had 44% of the ball to İA Akranes's 56%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.82 to 2.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stjarnan and 0.50 for İA Akranes.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?
Stjarnan 1-2 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 52%, draw 20%, İA Akranes 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan) went the other way.