İA Akranes 1-3 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jul 2024

İA Akranes
1-3 HT 1-0
Stjarnan
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

İA Akranes vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.54/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.48
+48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
30.0 Crosses 12.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

İA Akranes vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Stjarnan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.47 xG 3.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
280 Passes 460
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.03.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.08.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 3-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.05.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL

İA Akranes 1-3 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-3
AWAY Stjarnan
2.51 xG 1.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 35
36 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan beat İA Akranes 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İA Akranes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 43% of the ball to Stjarnan's 57%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 2.51 to 1.71 — on chances, İA Akranes could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İA Akranes and 2.67 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Stjarnan?

İA Akranes 1-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 46%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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