Fram Reykjavik 4-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.14
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-10.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.55/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.46
+29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
20.6 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
339 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
24.02.2024 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
31.01.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLRT
23.07.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.08.2022 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
4-1
AWAY Valur
2.08 xG 2.24
28% Ball Possession 72%
13 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
185 Passes 570
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 39
3 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik swept aside Valur 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 28% of the ball to Valur's 72%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 2.08 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.67 for Valur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Fram Reykjavik 4-1 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 33%, draw 25%, Valur 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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