Vestri 0-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 61%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
0.56/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.80
+60% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
18.0 Crosses 25.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
200 Passes 282
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Vestri Vestri İZL
17.02.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
0-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.22 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
204 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur beat Vestri 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vestri had 42% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 58%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.22 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Vestri 0-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vestri 24%, draw 23%, FH Hafnarfjordur 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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