Valur 1-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.02/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.15
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.0 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.83 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
482 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
31.01.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLRT
23.07.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.08.2022 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
29.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
1-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.10 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
358 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and Fram Reykjavik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Valur had 51% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.10 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valur and 1.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Valur 1-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valur 51%, draw 25%, Fram Reykjavik 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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