Fylkir 0-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.54/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.60
+36% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.75 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
244 Passes 480
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-4 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
22.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.08.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
30.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
20.03.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
21.08.2020 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
0-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 xG 0.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
207 Passes 376
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past Fylkir 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fylkir had 39% of the ball to Stjarnan's 61%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.00 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fylkir and 2.33 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Stjarnan?

Fylkir 0-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 27%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Apr 2024
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