Stjarnan 2-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.42/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.26
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.4 Crosses 29.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
446 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.07.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-3 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
05.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.03.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-1
AWAY İA Akranes
2.18 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
392 Passes 336
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past İA Akranes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 51% of the ball to İA Akranes's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.18 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stjarnan and 0.67 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Stjarnan 2-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 22%, İA Akranes 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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