KR Reykjavik 3-3 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.73/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.94
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
24.7 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Valur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.29 xG 2.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 309
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
03.06.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-5 HT 2-4 Valur Valur İZL
24.09.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
31.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
07.05.2023 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
12.02.2023 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
3-3
AWAY Valur
2.53 xG 3.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 10
344 Passes 247
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Valur shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 54% of the ball to Valur's 46%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 2.53 to 3.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 3.67 for Valur.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Valur?

KR Reykjavik 3-3 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 41%, draw 26%, Valur 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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