Stjarnan 3-0 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.53
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.61
+11% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
15.5 Crosses 26.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.67 xG 1.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-3 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
05.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.03.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.08.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 3-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
3-0
AWAY İA Akranes
0.87 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
480 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan ran out comfortable winners over İA Akranes 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Stjarnan had 61% of the ball to İA Akranes's 39%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.87 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Stjarnan and 0.67 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Stjarnan 3-0 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 52%, draw 22%, İA Akranes 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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