İA Akranes 0-3 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.0pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -4%
1.85/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.41
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
21.6 Crosses 24.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Stjarnan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.49 xG 2.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 433
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
30.09.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.07.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-3 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
05.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
0-3
AWAY Stjarnan
1.27 xG 2.95
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
198 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan cruised past İA Akranes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, İA Akranes had 37% of the ball to Stjarnan's 63%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 1.27 to 2.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İA Akranes and 2.83 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Stjarnan?

İA Akranes 0-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 31%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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