Bolivar vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolivar v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Bolivar 3-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Bolivar nicked a narrow win over Gremio 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 31-13, expected goals 4.37 to 1.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bolivar's control.
What was the final score of Bolivar vs Gremio?
Bolivar 3-2 Gremio in the Copa Sudamericana on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 53%, draw 26%, Gremio 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.