Santa Fe 2-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 24 Jul 2026

Santa Fe
2-0 HT 1-0
Caracas FC
📅24/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Santa Fe vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.51
No
46%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
6+ Goals
11%
22.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.72
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
20.8
X/1
23%
3.47
X/2
8%
15.1
X/X
6%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
2/2
5%
15.0
2/X
8%
24.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
36%
+18.1pp
46%
BTTS No
64%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.50/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.96
-37% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
40.0 Crosses 9.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Santa Fe 2-0 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Caracas FC
0.82 xG 0.53
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 302
21 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe beat Caracas FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.82 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?

Santa Fe 2-0 Caracas FC in the Copa Sudamericana on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 62%, draw 21%, Caracas FC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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